Over
the past month, our office has gathered some basic information that relates to businesses
and franchising, and more specifically to franchises in the restaurant
industry. The basic information below is meant to help franchisors plan for the
year and future growth and expenses. While some of the information has been
taken from various publications and resources, some of the information is our
opinion. The below is not legal advice or our promotion of any products or services and should not be construed as such.
1. Bernstein
Research in New York
expects a 4% growth in restaurant sales in 2013—assuming the economy remains
about where it is now.
2. OBAMACARE –the below are some statistics that are meant to
help you understand the possible impact of the health care mandate.
a. The Hudson Institute (for IFA)
estimates the health care mandate will cost the franchise industry $6.4 billion
dollars.
b. McDonald’s estimates that it will cost
$10,000 to $30,000 per store.
c. Jack in the Box estimates the cost to
be $10,000 per employee, but that the cost can be covered by a 1% increase in
menu prices.
d. Most sources and experts are
recommending a price increase over cutting working hours, but that is in flux. Each
franchise system needs to balance the fear of backlash relating to cutting
working hours versus the fear of backlash relating to increased menu prices and/or
loss of menu items.
e. GE Capital believes the restaurant
sector will ultimately weather this and will be able to cover the increase in
costs through price increases alone. However, the amount of price increases and
the public perception of an increase as the economy remains slow was not
specifically addressed.
3 3. CONSCIOUS
CAPITALISM BY JOHN MACKEY
This book may be a helpful read to
franchisors and business owners in all sectors. We have not read the book but
several articles have referenced both John Mackey and his book in recent
publications. John Mackey is the founder of Whole Foods. His basic theory is
that the owners of a corporation should view the business as an opportunity to create value for the owners, employees
and the communities where they do business. Value is defined in many different
ways. In the long run a company that creates value will do far better because
doing so changes the way the managers and other employees view what they are
doing. However, it is important that the value created needs to become a
central part of the corporate culture if this Whole Foods model is to
succeed. The book questions the traditional “profits and all costs” model
as being often counterproductive and one that can readily create enemies.
4 4. RULE OF THUMB FOR EQUITY CAPITAL –For Investors in a restaurant system
As a typical rule of thumb for restaurant acquisitions,
the equity capital investor is looking for:
a.
$750
per square foot in sales;
b. $300
per foot cost to build;
c. 18-20
percent unit level cash flow;
d. Cash-on-cash
return on investment of at least 40%
The above points and tips
hopefully will help you in your business whether it is in creating growth, in
creating a new corporate culture or in preparing your business for acquisition
by another individual, company or investment firm.
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